The Democrats will have as many as 265 seats

PiS 29%, Ko 23, Poland 2050 as much as 20 percent - these are sensational results of the Ipsos survey for Oko press. In such a Sejm, only a coalition of co, Poland and the left could rule-it would have 265 seats. Pis even with the Confederation-only 194.

Look who's voting for Kaczynski.

The results of the Ipsos survey for Oko, which ended on Wednesday, November 25. the press clearly confirms that there is a rapid change in the political landscape. Sensational is the best result of the formation of Shimon Kholunya in the polls of reputable studios-20 percent, barely 3 percentage points. for KO and 9 points for the boy. All this is due to the deterioration of the economy, among other things. In connection with the quarantine, the question of work is acute,and many move to the online sphere, knowing that you can earn additional income, as deltamarket broker does  many professions in connection with the pandemic were called into question.

The more conservative Poland of 2050 strikes at the bastions of Ipr in rural areas and in groups of less educated people.
if these were the results of real elections the sejm would include the five winning parties:

Pis-161 seats, 72 less than now (according to the Sejm);
Ko-120, 14 less;
Poland 2050-103;
Left-42 6 less;
Confederacy-33, 22 more.
the psl coalition with kukiz ' 15 will not enter the sejm, currently it has 30 seats.

The Sejm elected today would look like this:

With this state of political sympathy, the PiS will lose its majority in the Sejm, even with the Confederation it will have only 194 seats. Only an opposition, pro-democratic trio could rule: the coalition, Poland and the left. Its majority will be solid-265 seats. To overcome the president's veto-and Duda will rule until 2025-you need 276 votes.

In the last two polls of the well-known Kantar, the results were similar, only in our country the PiS is slightly stronger, and the Holovnya party is much better. But Ko's rating is slightly weaker.

Political history 2016-2020 See her like in a movie

On a special "rolling chart" , we show the ratings of the five main political forces in the Ipsos poll for Oko. press since the creation of our portal in June 2016. We also present the results of the Seimas elections in 2015 and 2019 (by hovering over the graph of this party, you can also see its Solo ratings).

The last two polls feature Poland 2050, whose candidate won 13.9 percent of the vote in the 2020 presidential election. The cavalry formation is better now.
for ko, this is the second-worst result in our polls (and 3 points less than in the 2019 election). After the PiS victory in 2015, the amount of quotes then was powerful .the liberal opposition took advantage of the outrage caused by the ipr's attack on the constitutional tribunal.

After the disastrous "trip to Madeira" Ryszard Petru ratings .n dropped three times, and the duo after+.N in 2018 and 2019 stabilized at the level of 25-27 percent. (the jump in may 2019 is a measurement of the european coalition involving the sld and psl).

Holovni's movement received a certain amount of support in April 2020, but since then both groups have gained 6-7 percentage points each. each.

The result of the left is slightly lower than the 2019 elections (12.6%) and pre-election polls, which gave it as much as 15%.

And vice versa, with the confederation: the polish jobbik notes a steady slight increase, in the 2019 elections they had 6.8%., the same amount was won by krzysztof bosak in the presidential election.